Professor Predicts Impeachment for Donald Trump
Allan Lichtman is an American History professor at American University.
November 21, 2016
Allan Lichtman, a professor of history at American University, has correctly predicted the results of all presidential elections since 1984. After being one of the few public figures to predict Donald Trump’s presidency, he now thinks Trump will
be impeached.
Lichtman said that his system of prediction — the Keys to the White House — depends on a series of 13 true or false questions. When more than six of the questions are answered false, his system predicts that the current political party in the White House will not be reelected. He said that because there are limited examples of past impeachment, he couldn’t use the same system to predict Trump’s impeachment.
“Predictions about impeachment are not based upon a scientific model, but on my gut,” Lichtman said. “There is not [a] scientific model that can predict impeachments because there have only been two of them throughout the course of American history — there aren’t enough examples to do a complete analysis.”
Lichtman said that his prediction of Trump’s impeachment stems from what he’s seen so far in the presidential election and he doesn’t think Trump’s behavior will change from his campaign. He also expects that Congress would prefer Mike Pence to be president because he is less of a wild card than Trump.
“Throughout his career Trump has played fast and loose through the law, and that will transfer to his presidency,” Lichtman said. “Republicans love control and they may well decide to have Mike Pence: a down the pipe, controllable, standard issued, Christian-conservative, as president.”
Lichtman said that although the public may think that Pence has a lot of controversial opinions, they may not seem all that controversial within the Republican party.
LS freshman Edward Liu identifies himself as a non-partisan and said that he could see Trump being a more capable president than Pence. Liu said that it’s difficult to predict impeachment, and he would only support the decision if there was
copious evidence.
“I would only support an impeachment of any president if there is convincing evidence showing that there are incapable or have committed inexcusable mistakes,” Liu said. “Impeaching a president due to partisan conflict or public pressure
is unacceptable.”
Liu said that although Trump has severely damaged the nation’s interest, he doesn’t think that Congress has any grounds to impeach Trump.
Tisch senior Jack Kapulsky is the treasurer of College Republicans and said that he also predicted Trump would win, and doesn’t think that Lichtman’s success in predicting the result of the election is anything special.
“It’s not a big deal that this man predicted Trump would win,” Kapulsky said. “Many of us regular people who saw through the lies of the NY Times, HuffPo, etc., and don’t get our news solely from left-wing outlets knew this was coming and tried to warn our peers only to be dismissed and laughed at.”
Kapulsky said that the notion of Trump being impeached at this point in time is just baseless fodder for liberals to eat up. He thinks that it would have been far more conceivable for Hillary Clinton to be impeached if she had won, as the Clinton Foundation is still under federal investigation. He said that neither Pence nor Trump would be a better president — they balance each other out.
“Trump is more socially liberal and a charismatic avenger for the country whereas Pence is more conservative and reserved, but a much more experienced politician,” Kapulsky said. “I don’t see the value in contemplating what it would be like if one were out of the picture, because I think they will very much be running the country codependently.”
A version of this article appeared in the Monday, Nov. 21 print edition. Email Jemima McEvoy at [email protected].
kushal kumar • Mar 26, 2018 at 1:00 am
News reports appeared around 24 March 2018 in media convey that allegations of sex have been made by a lady in US against President Donald Trump in early 2018. A court in US is reported to have ordered investigation. The issue has come up in news in the second half of March , 2018. Obviously , it can be imagined that the controversy raised may have stressed Trump while one need not be swayed by mere allegations. In the background of this , readers may find it interesting to refresh themselves with connected story.
Allan Litchman , a Professor of American history in American University , who is credited to be one of few to have predicted Trump Presidency , had also expressed his opinion that Trump might be impeached. These predictions of Allan Litchman were brought out in news report – “ Professor Predicts Impeachment for Donald Trump” – on 21 November , 2016 in Washington Square News. This Vedic astrology writer had also covered US Presidential election 2016 predicting successfully not only win for Trump but also other connected incidents leading to win. So on having become aware of Allan Lichtman’s opinion about impeachment , this writer also had astrological exercise with the following analysis report published on 24 November , 2016 as commentary in Washington Square News, which reads as :-
“The US news media has reported that American University History Professor Allan Lichtman had predicted win for Donald Trump, which came accurate. While Allan Lichtman may be credited having predicted win in Presidency accurately , yet this writer’s related predictions are distinguished being separated by amazingly distinct and precise features. Another prediction made by the same Professor reportedly is that Trump could be impeached in his first Presidency. This Vedic astrology writer has now looked into the said another prediction of Professor Allan about Donald Trump, applying astrology and well considered opinion is like this. During first Presidency , after about a year or so , Donald Trump seems to be having some concerns , which may relate to health or some psychological issue or some machinations behind the curtain within his own Party or from Party in opposition. If planetary influences focus on health , it could likely be relating to something like lung or heart or eye. If these influences have focus on psychology , these could likely have focus on loved ones. If these influences have focus on machinations behind the curtain within his own Party or even from others , it could likely relate to a political posture to affect his position. But in one or more probabilities disclosed by planetary postures , while there seems some stress clearly , there is no loss of anything. In other words , this writer does not foresee anything like impeachment for President-elect Donald Trump. Thought to share the opinion with readers.”
Gregory Vatistas • Feb 6, 2017 at 9:19 pm
8 democrats in this household who did vote for Trump. we voted for Obama also and we realize Obama to be the worst in my 43 yrs of voting. Trump can’t do worse than what we went through over the last 8 yrs. We will vote for him again, as long he does what he says. The wall going up, i wish he would get tougher on immigration, but i don’t see that happening, i would like it to be closed for 30 yrs till it get it right, not months like Obamacare with is dying. A good job takes a looonnnnng time. Get rid of sanctuary cities also.
Milagros • Feb 1, 2017 at 6:49 am
It will be a bone crushing humiliation for the small handed dennis the menace, and it should. Or perhaps something worse will happen. Good thibn the WH fences have barb wire!
John Hendricks • Dec 13, 2016 at 8:31 am
JUST A THOUGHT…When a President’s own party gives suppressed or expressed problems with the Executive Branch, and the other party is actively in rebellion, clandestine moves to impeach may arise or later to nominate some else at the next election. The support may be contrary to election results. Here in is a reason to feel less danger since our new VP is well qualified and able.
John Stevens • Dec 8, 2016 at 12:35 am
John Lennon was murdered on today’s date in 1980. I remember it like it was yesterday. Dec 8th 1980.
John Stevens • Dec 8, 2016 at 12:32 am
EDIT : Safe place, not sad place. Boy this tablet keyboard is a pain.
John Stevens • Dec 8, 2016 at 12:29 am
Impeach Trump? He can’t be impeached just because the liberals and Democrats did not like the outcome of the election. There must be high crimes such as treason that has been committed. So what are his high crimes? Being a businessman? Saying things during a private conversation that were absolutely scandalous to women. Oh my gosh. Dear me. I need to cover my ears and find a sad places with crayons and hot chocolate. Perhaps having top secret classified information on a hard drive in his basement. Yeah that would do it because he is a Republican, but a pass is given if one is a Demo-rat.
Dave Matthews • Dec 6, 2016 at 4:23 pm
This is one of my favorites so far.
-stephen • Dec 3, 2016 at 11:43 pm
Impeachment? Have you read the Constitution? It requires the House to charge the President with something – “high crimes and misdemeanors” – do you really think this House will do that? Then the Senate has to hold a trial and find him guilty of those charges. This Senate? No way no how, as they say. Impeachment is something only people who have no understanding of the process would suggest. But it sure sounds neat.
kushal kumar • Nov 24, 2016 at 8:58 pm
The US news media has reported that American University History Professor Allan Lichtman had predicted win for Donald Trump, which came accurate. While Allan Lichtman may be credited having predicted win in Presidency accurately , yet this writer’s related predictions are distinguished being separated by amazingly distinct and precise features. Another prediction made by the same Professor reportedly is that Trump could be impeached in his first Presidency. This Vedic astrology writer has now looked into the said another prediction of Professor Allan about Donald Trump, applying astrology and well considered opinion is like this. During first Presidency , after about a year or so , Donald Trump seems to be having some concerns , which may relate to health or some psychological issue or some machinations behind the curtain within his own Party or from Party in opposition. If planetary influences focus on health , it could likely be relating to something like lung or heart or eye. If these influences have focus on psychology , these could likely have focus on loved ones. If these influences have focus on machinations behind the curtain within his own Party or even from others , it could likely relate to a political posture to affect his position. But in one or more probabilities disclosed by planetary postures , while there seems some stress clearly , there is no loss of anything. In other words , this writer does not foresee anything like impeachment for President-elect Donald Trump. Thought to share the opinion with readers.
kushal kumar • Nov 21, 2016 at 8:26 pm
This Vedic astrology writer has been covering US Presidential Election 2016 for nearly a year from now. The predictions made by this writer at different stages of time about the election , may be conveniently found recorded at two websites as follows :-
(1). donaldjtrumppolls.com/contact-us/
(2). donaldtrump2016online.com/2016/02/cnn-town-hall-event-on-feb-18-2016.html
While every prediction input recorded in the said two websites is a standing testimony of precise accuracy of Vedic astrology , it may be particular to reproduce the following text from the same :-
(a). Recorded 7 months and 10 days ago reckoned from 9 November 2016 , that is, on 31 March 2016 . “ After having a deep peep into horoscopes of Donald Trump and those opposing in race , it can be inferred that ongoing times till about 10 May 2016 , may further cement political standing of Donald Trump. His competitors in race are likely to fall short in the competition”. Readers may note that there were three in race to the Republican nomination including Donald Trump. But the other two dropped on 3rd and 4th May and by 10 May Donald Trump was the sole choice.
( b). Recorded on 5 months 26 days reckoned from 9 November 2016, that is , on 14 May 2016 – “ My reading about you , as already spelt out in some way here before is that you are heading to nomination while facing some struggle or machinations of those in political fraternity or circles till about October 2016. But that is not going to stop you from the race in November for President , when your stars are rising high for prominence and position. US PRESIDENT POSITION LOOKS TO BE FOR YOU”.
(c). Recorded on 7 October 2016 . “ This Vedic astrology writer has been covering US Presidential Election 2016 from time to time. And , by and large , predictions or analysis has been to the point. At present , news reports are showing Trump and Clinton either edge to edge or Clinton slightly leading. But the real picture may emerge DURING LAST TEN TO TWELVE DAYS TO ELECTION TO THE SURPRISE OF MANY ANALYSTS. THERE COULD EMERGE A CLEAR SWING AND IT COULD BE FOR TRUMP”. It is a well-known fact that discovery of new emails on 28 October when 11 days were left to the election and decision of FBI to look into the new emails had contributed to halting Clinton’s lead, proving this writer right. Hilary Clinton had also expressed the opinion that the said development was the cause of her defeat in the election.
(d). An approximate hint of kind of voters requiring specific focus for support for Donald Trump and some unambiguous indication of State or States was predicted, which seem to have proved meaningful indicators. For example, it was mentioned way back in March 2016 that Florida had particular affinity with Donald Trump. Going by one- voice news reports , State of Florida played a major turning point role not only at the time of securing Republican nomination but also during November 2016 when the said State is reported to have given Donald Trump a stunning win with chunk votes 29.
It is hoped readers world-wide may like reading the news piece as above. The US news media has reported that American University History Professor Allan Lichtman had predicted win for Donald Trump, which came accurate. Another prediction made by the same Professor reportedly is that Trump could be impeached in his first Presidency. This Vedic astrology writer has no opinion on the later question because mind has not been applied as yet. Further , while Allan Lichtman may be credited having predicted win in Presidency accurately , yet this writer’s related predictions are distinguished being separated by amazingly distinct and precise features.
Red • Nov 21, 2016 at 12:20 pm
As a follow-up on Clinton’s impeachment: Technically, he was successfully impeached by the U.S. Congress, but it was not upheld by the Senate.
– – Until now, no U.S. president has been removed from office by impeachment, according to Wikipedia.
– – Good luck on doing this to Trump with both Congress and Senate controlled by Republicans.
Red • Nov 21, 2016 at 12:08 pm
So what if Trump gets impeached? – – Bill Clinton got impeached, and he never even broke stride in what he wanted to do in the U.S. Presidency.
— I used to think that impeachment meant that the guy got kicked out of office, but apparently not so. — It’s only like shaking one’s finger and saying, “Shame on you.”
– – – Impeachment? …Big deal.
ron • Nov 21, 2016 at 11:37 am
Good luck hanging you hat on that idea!
ron • Nov 21, 2016 at 11:33 am
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