Don’t Run For President, Bloomberg
February 9, 2016
In a recent interview with Financial Times, Michael Bloomberg confirmed that he was considering running for president as an Independent after months of speculation. The former New York City mayor criticized the current presidential contenders, remarking, “I find the level of discourse and discussion distressingly banal and an outrage and an insult to the voters.” While Bloomberg’s potential candidacy is not to be dismissed, the reality is that in an already crowded pool of candidates, Bloomberg is more of a distraction than anything else.
Historically, third-party candidates have served as hindrances to the presidential campaign rather than as viable options for voters. When a third-party candidate steps in, especially this far into the election cycle, the result is a lose-lose situation. Enough voters are inevitably guided away from the mainstream candidates to significantly hurt their campaigns, yet not enough to realistically put forward another electable candidate. In other words, third-party runs tend to dilute the race rather than enhance it. In fact, the last time that a third-party candidate polled at the required 15% nationally to qualify for the televised presidential debates was 1992, when Ross Perot mounted an unsuccessful Independent run. In the decades since, third-party candidates have been predominantly perceived as interfering with the electoral process.
This election season has already seen enough distractions. Harvard University Professor Lawrence Lessig, who attracted attention and criticism for his one-issue platform to overturn the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision, ended his campaign without polling high enough to reach the Democratic presidential debates. Before Lessig, the media was captivated by a possible bid from Vice President Joe Biden, only to watch him publicly dispel the notion. Bloomberg does not have the stature or executive experience of Biden, which makes his run an implausible venture, especially at this late stage of the election cycle. Additionally, the overcrowded Republican field has shown how candidates can weaken opponents simply by being alternatives, without strong policy proposals or involvement in the race. Each candidate is a talking head that captures airtime and media attention from other campaigns, and Bloomberg would add yet another face to block out candidates who have already spent months consolidating support.
Voters already have a fair amount of billionaires, businessmen and New Yorkers to choose from this election cycle, and have already pledged their allegiances in Iowa and New Hampshire. It is difficult to see what Bloomberg offers to the race besides divisiveness and distraction. Besides, Bloomberg’s initiatives on gun control and considerable philanthropy have already made him a forced to be reckoned with outside of Washington politics. The former New York City mayor can best continue his work to make meaningful change through the unique high-powered role he has spent a lifetime building.
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JIMEVANHOE • Feb 11, 2016 at 4:38 pm
BLOOMBERG SAID TO BE RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT so we are printing His POSTER – We are printing a POSTER of Bloomberg kneeling to the Queen of England to be phony Knighted – YES – Knighted by the Queen of Drug Money Laundering since She owns the Bank HSBC – the largest Drug Money Laundering Bank on the Planet. Read “Gangster Bankers” by Matt Taibbi – Feb 14th 2013 or the Book “World Banking World Fraud” by former executive banker John Cruz . If Bloomberg runs the POSTER will sell well in Drug Infested Neighborhoods of Chicago – to – Tijuana Mexico and hang on Sean Penn’s wall and since HSBC laundered funds for the Sinaloa Drug Cartel of Mexico (ref Taibbi & Cruz) we will be sending a POSTER of Bloomberg & the Queen to EL CHAPO – Mr. Guzman.
Jeff • Feb 11, 2016 at 12:38 am
This is the best opinion article that I have read from this paper so far. It is well thought out and has a maturity in the writing that is missing in most of these opinion pieces. Great job
Independent • Feb 10, 2016 at 11:28 am
Bloomberg has an opening if, and only if, the two relatively extreme candidates win. Sanders on the democratic side, and Trump or possibly Cruz on the Republican side. This way he has a clear path in the middle. Deadline for filing varies but I think he can, (and would), file after Super Tuesday to see who comes out on top.
He definitely faces an uphill battle for an independent run but he wouldn’t necessarily hand either side a victory depending on his message. Ross Perot, contrary to popular opinion, didn’t help either side win in 1992 according to exit polls. If anything, his polling prior to the election showed him pulling Clinton voters. This makes sense considering some of his social views and his support for restricting free trade.
I actually think Bloomberg would have a harder time, initially, against Trump than Cruz, because Trump’s populism itself embodies something like a third-party candidacy. I think his mayoral terms are a great asset, but it would all come down to how he frames his message.